credit rating agencies have been around for the better part of the
20th century, and have played a key role in the financial world by
providing ratings on the creditworthiness of bonds
and other debt instruments. These ratings are invaluable tools for
investors looking to get a better sense of whether a debt instrument is
worth investing in. Therefore, when assessing the level of risk
associated with a bond, investors will typically look at its credit
rating.
Since most investors are looking for a tradeoff between risk and
return on their investments, they are typically going to demand a higher
interest rate for bonds that have poorer credit ratings. As a result,
rating agencies play an important role in setting interest rates on debt
securities.
History of Credit Rating Agencies
The concept of using rating agencies to assess the level of risk
associated with a debt arose around the beginning of the 20th century
when three major credit rating agencies were formed. Although additional
rating agencies were formed in subsequent years, the original rating
agencies – Fitch, Moody’s, and Standard and Poor’s – are the most
prominent.
1. Fitch
The
Fitch Publishing Company was founded in 1913 by John Knowles Fitch, a
33-year-old entrepreneur who had just taken over his father’s printing
business. Fitch had a unique goal for his company: to publish financial
statistics on stocks and bonds.
In 1924, Fitch expanded the services of his business by creating a
system for rating debt instruments based on the company’s ability to
repay their obligations. Although Fitch’s rating system of grading debt
instruments became the standard for other credit rating agencies, Fitch
is now the smallest of the “big three” firms.
2. S&P
Henry
Varnum Poor was a financial analyst with a similar vision to John
Knowles Fitch. Like Fitch, Poor was interested in publishing financial
statistics, which inspired him to create H.V. and H.W. Poor Company.
Luther Lee Blake was another financial analyst interested in becoming
a financial publisher. In order to achieve this dream, Blake founded
Standard Statistics in 1906, just a year after Poor’s death. Standard
Statistics and H.V. and H.W. Poor published very similar information.
Hence, it made sense for the two companies to consolidate their assets,
and they merged in 1941 to form the Standard and Poor’s Corporation.
Today, Standard and Poor’s
not only provides ratings but also offers other financial services,
such as investment research, to investors. They are now the largest of
the “big three” rating agencies.
3. Moody’s
John
Moody founded the financial holding company, Moody’s Corporation, in
1909. Although Moody’s provides a number of services, one of their
largest divisions is Moody’s Investor Services. While Moody’s has
conducted credit ratings since 1914, they only conducted ratings of
government bonds until 1970.
Moody’s has grown significantly over the years. Presently, Moody’s is the second largest of the “big three” firms.
Purpose of Credit Rating Agencies
Credit rating agencies assign ratings to any organization that issues
debt instruments, including private corporations and all levels of
government. Due to the fact that investors need to know they are
receiving adequate compensation for the risk they are taking by holding
an investment, the ratings the agencies issue are essential to the
financial industry.
The interest rate attached to a debt is inversely related to its
level of risk. Therefore, since investors use the opinions of rating
agencies as metrics for the level of risk attached to a debt instrument,
credit ratings play a key role in the interest rates of different debt
securities.
How Credit Rating Agencies Work
Debtors want investors to have a good idea of how creditworthy their
securities are. Of course, investors are looking for an unbiased idea of
a company’s ability to repay debt. Therefore, companies will often hire
a credit rating agency to rate their debt.
After the company solicits a bid, the credit rating agency will
evaluate the institution as carefully as possible. However, there is no
magic formula to determine an institution’s credit rating; the agency
must instead conduct a subjective evaluation of the institution’s ability to repay its debts.
When conducting their assessment, the credit rating agencies will
look at a number of factors, including the institution’s level of debt,
its character, a demonstration of its willingness to repay its debt, and
its financial ability to repay its debt. Although many of these factors
are based on information found on the institution’s balance sheet and
income statements, others (such as an attitude towards repaying debt)
need to be scrutinized more carefully.
For example, in the recent national debt ceiling
debacle, S&P downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating because they
felt the political brinkmanship of the federal government was not
consistent with the behavior of a AAA institution.
When they assess an institution’s credit rating, the agencies will classify the debt as one of the following:
- High grade
- Upper medium grade
- Lower medium grade
- Non-investment grade speculative
- Highly speculative
- Substantial risks or near default
- In default
High grade investments are considered the safest debt available. On
the other hand, investments that are listed as in default are the
riskiest debt instruments, as they have already demonstrated that they
are unable to repay their obligations. Hence, investments in default
will need to offer a much higher interest rate if they intend to invest
money in them.
Advantages of Credit Agencies
1. They Help Good Institutions Get Better Rates
Institutions with higher grade credit ratings are able to borrow money
at more favorable interest rates. Accordingly, this rewards
organizations that are responsible about managing their money and paying
off their debt. In turn, they will be able to expand their business at a
faster rate, which helps stimulate the economy’s expansion as well.
2. They Warn Investors of Risky Companies
Investors always want to know the level of risk associated with a
company. This makes rating agencies very important, as many investors
wish to be forewarned of particularly risky investments.
3. They Provide a Fair Risk-Return Ratio
Not all investors are opposed to buying risky debt securities. However,
they want to know that they are going to be rewarded if they take on a
high level of risk. For this reason, credit rating agencies will inform
them of the risk levels for every debt instrument and help ensure that
they are properly compensated for the level of risk they take on.
4. They Give Institutions an Incentive to Improve
A poor credit rating can be a wake-up call for institutions that have
taken on too much debt or haven’t demonstrated that they are willing to
be responsible about paying it back. These institutions are often in
denial of their credit problems, and need to be alerted of any potential
problems from an analyst before they make the necessary changes.
Disadvantages of Credit Rating Agencies
Unfortunately, although credit rating agencies serve a number of purposes, they are not without flaws:
1. Evaluation Is Highly Subjective
There are no standard formulas to establish an institution’s credit
rating; instead, credit rating agencies use their best judgement.
Unfortunately, they often end up making inconsistent judgments, and the
ratings between different credit rating agencies may vary as well.
For example, there was much talk about the S&P downgrade when the
United States lost its AAA credit rating. Regardless of the S&P
decision, the other two major credit rating agencies still give the U.S.
the highest grade rating possible.
2. There Can Be Conflict of Interest
The credit rating agencies usually provide ratings at the request of the
institutions themselves. Although they sometimes conduct unsolicited
evaluations on companies and sell the ratings to investors, they usually
are paid by the very same companies they are rating.
Obviously, this system can lead to serious conflicts of interest.
Since the company pays the rating agency to determine its rating, that
agency might be inclined to give the company a more favorable rating so
as to retain their business. The Department of Justice has started
investigating the credit rating agencies for their role in the
mortgage-backed securities that collapsed in 2008.
3. Ratings Aren’t Always Accurate
Although credit rating agencies offer a consistent rating scale, that
does not mean that companies are going to be rated accurately. For many
years, the credit ratings of these agencies were rarely questioned.
However, after rating agencies provided AAA ratings for the worthless
mortgage-backed securities that contributed to the recession, investors
don’t have nearly as much faith in them. Their ratings are still
referenced by almost everyone, but their credibility has taken a serious
hit.
Interestingly, when the United States had its debt downgraded, the
financial community was surprised that more investors flocked to U.S.
treasuries than ever before. This was a clear sign that they weren’t
taking the credit rating agencies’ opinions as seriously as analysts
would have expected.
Final Word
Credit rating agencies have played a significant role in the
financial community over the past century. Throughout their existence,
they have helped investors identify levels of risk; otherwise, the
investing community would be in a world of chaos as it tried to
determine risk levels and appropriate interest rates. However, at the
end of the day, rating agencies’ evaluations need to be taken with a
grain of salt. Although their opinions are based off of highly educated
professionals, they are still opinions.
Investors should take a credit rating under advisement, but they
should also use their own judgment when they decide whether to purchase a
debt instrument at a certain price or interest rate. If you are
investing in a security, consider how much debt the firm holds, its
revenue, and the assets it has withstanding. Although these are some of
the same factors a rating agency looks at, investors should come to
their own conclusion on the level of investment risk associated with a security.
